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Gary Marcus:The Road to AI We Can Trust· Gary Marcus·· 2026-09-07AI 评分56

Gary Marcus 质疑 Jensen Huang 无定义无证据地宣称 AGI 到来

Sad to see Jensen Huang claim that AGI has arrived, with no evidence and no definitions

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Gary Marcus 撰文批评 Jensen Huang 宣称 AGI 竞赛已结束,指出其未给出证据和定义,并建议其参考 Hendrycks、Yoshua Bengio 等人参与的 agidefinition.AI。

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Declaring victory without a definition simply muddies the waters

Sep 06, 2026

A couple hours ago Jensen Huang declared that the race to AGI is over.

Unfortunately, Huang gave no evidence and no definitions, which feels to me like an effort at a takeover of a scientific question by corporate fiat.

I would urge him to read agidefinition.AI by Hendrycks, Yoshua Bengio & many others (including myself), and to consider how Astra is doing on the kinds of examples I laid out in my 10 -item bet with Brundage. Autoformalization may finally be in reach, and maybe (?) reliable coding; I doubt that Astra will have hit any of the other eight.

By conventional definitions, Astra still falls short.

Declaring victory without a definition simply muddies the waters.

Aside from the lack of definitions, I would expect that if Astra really were AGI, it would be a quantum leap ahead of its competitors. Instead, many see it as not much more than on a par with Fable 5.1 in real-world applications:

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀@peterwildeford My current view is that GPT 6 Astra is not meaningfully better than Fable 5.1 for my personal work, but that using both side-by-side is nonetheless very helpful and additive. I have been using GPT 6 Astra and Fable 5.1 a bunch over the past two days, largely for policy analysis,… 8:45 PM · Sep 6, 2026 · 4.08K Views * * * 6 Replies · 4 Reposts · 86 Likes And one well-respected set of benchmarks suggests that Astra is a genuine improvement but not significantly off-trend.

When real AGI arrives, we won’t need to squint our eyes.

And we won’t need Jensen’s approval, either. The results, at that point, will speak for themselves.

Update: One reader pointed to the ARC-AGI test as a criterion. Here’s what the inventor of ARC said about this:

François Chollet@fchollet Many of you will ask, "if it saturates ARC 3, is it AGI?" We're not making this claim. All we know about the system so far are its benchmark scores. When we launched ARC 3, and in every presentation we made about it, we were very insistent on one thing: solving it is not proof … Image 7 7:48 PM · Sep 3, 2026 · 60.6K Views * * * 22 Replies · 28 Reposts · 540 Likes Update two: Although Jensen congratulated OpenAI today, about six months he already declared victory, pre-Astra, with respect to an earlier model.

来源:Gary Marcus:The Road to AI We Can Trust · garymarcus.substack.com