马斯克预测,AI 的下一个主要瓶颈将是电力。他此前判断芯片会限制 AI 发展,如今仍受芯片制约,但接下来将转向电力设备——需将 300,000 伏电压降至计算机所需的 400 伏,涉及大量变压器、电缆和保险丝。变压器行业难以应对需求剧变,解决短缺后还将面临根本性的发电缺口。
ELON MUSK: AI’s next major bottleneck will be electricity.
“A few years ago, I made a very obvious prediction, which is that the limitation on AI will be chips, and it's still chips kind of chips today, then it will be electrical equipment, because you need to take power at that might be at 300,000 volts, all the way down to 400 volts for the computer.
So you need to step down transformers and a lot of them and a lot of cabling and wiring and fuses. And it's a lot of transformers, essentially, and the electrical transformer industry is not used to big changes in demand. And then as we solve the transformer shortage, there will be the fundamental electricity generation shortage. We're getting there soon.”
来源:DogeDesigner · x.com