高通CEO Cristiano Amon预测，2026年全球每10秒token需求约317亿，到2030年将达1.27万亿，增长40倍。他指出，token爆发并非源于更聪明的回答，而是AI从人类交互节奏转向智能体主导的自主活动。一旦智能体成为持久化存在，AI“停止”的经济将成为背景基础设施。每个有用动作都隐含成本：需要携带上下文、更新记忆、解析传感器数据，并防止错误造成严重后果。
"Every 10 seconds, global token demand is around 31.7 billion in 2026. By 2030 its 1.27 trillion, a 40x increase."
~ Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon:
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The token explosion is not mainly about smarter answers; it is about AI moving from human-paced interaction to Agent-paced activity.
Once agents become persistent, the economy of AI stops will be the background infrastructure.
Every useful action has a hidden bill: context must be carried, memory must be updated, sensors may need to be interpreted, and mistakes must be caught before they become expensive.
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From "Reuters" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
来源：Rohan Paul · x.com