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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 2026-05-17AI 评分72
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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 指出,AI将引领一个前所未有的颠覆性时代:经济可能实现5%-10%的高GDP增长,但同时伴随高失业率与不平等加剧。他举例称,软件成本将大幅下降甚至近乎免费,传统软件商业模式的前提或将瓦解。尽管目前工程师可转向编辑或升级工作,但AI模型将持续承担更多任务,导致许多延续数十年的职业逐渐消失。他强调,社会尚未充分意识到这场变革的巨大规模与冲击,对此他既感到兴奋又深表担忧。

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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei:

"AI will take us to a world where we have very high GDP growth and potentially also very high unemployment and inequality.

We've never had a technology that's this disruptive. So the idea that we could have 5% or 10% GDP growth, but also, 10% unemployment, it's not logically inconsistent at all. It's just never happened that way before. And I'm really quite, for those both reasons, excited and worried.

I have some engineering leads within Anthropic who have basically said to me, I don't write any code anymore. I just let Opus do the work and I edit it.

There are still things for the software engineers to do, right? It's like, even if the software engineers are only doing 10% of it, they still have a job to do or they can take a level up.

That's not going to last forever. The models are going to do more and more. "

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From "The Wall Street Journal" YT channel (link in comment)

引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei : "Software is going to become cheap, maybe essentially free. The premise that you need to amortize a piece of software you build across millions of users, that may start to be false. But at the same time, there are whole jobs, whole careers that we've built for decades that may not be present. And, you know, I think we can deal with it. I think we can adjust to it. But I don't, I don't think there's an awareness at all of what, of what is coming here and the magnitude of it." --- From "The Wall Street Journal" YT channel (link in comment)
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来源:Rohan Paul · x.com