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Noam Brown· @polynoamial · X·· 2025-07-19
AI 导读

Paul Christiano 与 Yudkowsky 2022 年赌 LLM 2025 年获 IMO 金牌概率仅 8% 和 16%,当时几乎无人相信可能实现。如今 AlphaProof 等形式化系统让 AI 数学进展远超他们预期。

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Their bet allowed for formal math AI systems (like AlphaProof). In 2022, almost nobody thought an LLM could be IMO gold level by 2025.

引用Nat McAleese@__nmca__
We are seeing much faster AI progress than **Paul Christiano** and **Yudkowsky** predicted, who had gold in 2025 at 8% and 16% respectively, by methods that are more general than expected
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来源:Noam Brown · x.com