跳到正文
Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 2026-09-01AI 评分51
AI 导读

一项研究估算,2015 至 2024 年数据中心并未推高美国居民平均电价,数据中心容量每增加 10%,平均居民电价约下降 0.4%。原因是电网固定成本被更多售电量摊薄,且新增电厂运行成本可能更低;作者警告若电网供应不足或过度建设,该效应可能反转。2024 年数据中心用电约占美国电力 4.5%,预计 2030 年达 9-17%。

正文 · 原文

Data centers did not raise average U.S. household electricity prices from 2015 to 2024.

Rather the opposite, their estimate finds: a 10% increase in data-center capacity lowered average residential electricity prices by about 0.4%.

Because, an electricity grid costs a lot to build and maintain whether it is lightly used or heavily used.

So when a large, steady customer like a data center buys much more electricity, those grid costs are spread across many more units of electricity sold. Total costs may rise, but the cost per unit can fall.

And when more power plants are needed, the new plants can be cheaper to run than the older power supply already built into customer bills.

The reason is not that electricity becomes free to produce, but that grids, wires, and generators can sometimes serve more demand at a lower average cost.

There is one important limit: this only holds when the grid can keep building enough supply, because shortages or overbuilding could flip the effect and raise prices.

引用Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
Lambda's co-founder and CTO @stephenbalaban : offshoring the data-center buildout (out of USA) would lose construction/operations jobs plus the reindustrialization jobs that follow from grid upgrades (steel, aluminum, turbines, etc.) "AI is a national strategic asset, Compute is a national strategic asset." https://x.com/tbpn/status/2094535730521681970/video/1
在 X 查看被引用的帖子

来源:Rohan Paul · x.com